Greed and Fear - Daily trading signals based on mathematics and software, no opinion, no emotion, no ego. Now with verified trading results!

Trading results: 
2021 -$1318,00
2019 +$8185,00
2018 +$1342,50
2017 +$5843,00
All verified! 
(trading exactly one E-mini S&P 500 future for the Greed and Fear model portfolio)

  • Does your brain accept randomness?

    rouletteEverybody knows this feeling and also knows it is a false feeling. You're in a casino, and the roulette hits red. Then again and again. After three, four maybe five times red in a row, you start to think it's time for the roulette to hit black. Now, in this simple case, you know that's not true.

  • Probability thinking

    diceIt has been mentioned in many posts here and elsewhere: to be successful in trading, you need a completely different mindset than the average person.

  • Science of irrationality

    irrationalityWe like to think that humans make decisions in a rational and logical way like computers do. Most economists model the consumer as a rational being, a consumer that makes well informed rational decisions.

  • What did you see?

    rorschachHumans are very good at recognizing patterns in every day life, and mostly patterns that we are familiar with. For instance, it doesn't take us a whole lot of effort to recognize a face, even if that face is showing a different expression than the first time we saw it. Recognizing a road crossing, but from a different angle than the first time is equally easy.