Greed and Fear - Daily trading signals based on mathematics and software, no opinion, no emotion, no ego. Now with verified trading results!

Trading results: 
2022 -$3119,00
2021
 +$2190,50
2020
 +$6098,50
2019 +$8185,00
2018 +$1342,50
2017 +$5843,00
All verified! 
(trading exactly one ES E-Mini S&P 500 future for the Greed and Fear model portfolio)

  • Trade of the Day: -$1008,00 April 26th, 2022

    stoploss

    After a long time of mixed signals and/or difficult market circumstances, all signs were right to take this long trade. The previous day showed a significant rally into the close, the neural networks all turned bullish. 

  • Trade of the Day: -$206,00 March 18th, 2021

    The market gods still have not given us a significant profitable trade ever since December last year(!) In February we decided to hold off, March now has only two trades. The first was a minor winner, the second a minor loser. And for me, there's a clear thing that stands out: stop loss!

    Look again at the first trade this month, especially the chart that shows entry and exit. Then compare this with today's trading chart.

  • Trade of the Day: -$306,00 March 31st, 2021

    Today was a short trade, not very common in the model portfolio. Most of the time, down days, happen during volatile times which can make it hard to place a correct order (opening en stop loss).

    This time, all five neural networks had a perfect bearish outcome, and market circumstances allowed to place a trade that made sense with regard to risk-reward. When that opportunity comes up, even if it 'feels' uncomfortable, it's the right thing to do.

  • Trade of the Day: -$556,00 August 26th, 2021

    Again after a wait of several days, the indicator came up with a strong bullish signal. At first, the market turned around when it came only at a 0,25 point close to our entry limit. But a couple of hours later it came back down again and also almost hit our stop loss in the next 30-min bar.

  • Trade of the Day: -$606,00 February 22nd, 2022

    stoploss

    It's been a few days, but this trade had yet to be posted. Once again it is a losing trade, but in execution, all went well. As always, the trading process is the most important thing, the profits will then eventually follow.

  • Trade of the Day: -$643,50 January 27th, 2022

    stoplossAnother short trade was made, yet this time not successful. We waited for yesterday's volatility to slow down a bit after initial trading on Wall Street.

    Overnight, the market was down significantly but it managed to dig its way out and posted well over +1% at one point. Looking at the daily indicator and intra-day indicators, a short trade was the most favorable trade to make at that moment.

  • Trade of the Day: -$656,00 December 21st, 2020

    coinsFor trading on December 21st, there was a strong bullish signal, so an order was entered and emailed to all investors. The buy limit order was set at a level that has a significant chance of getting touched during an intraday pullback.

    Combined with the buy limit, a bracket order was entered to close the position at pre-determined levels. This could be the stop loss (maximum allowed loss) or the sell limit (profit target). If either gets hit, the position is closed and the other remaining order is canceled. 

  • Trade of the Day: -$706,00 December 9th, 2020

    coinsWith the strong signals, mostly bullish, and the lower daily ranges, come more trading opportunities. Sometimes there's a month with no trade at all, and now a couple in a row. It is just unfortunate that currently, they are mostly losing trades.

    On the evening of December 8th, an e-mail went out to all investors with a new trading signal. We would buy long again at 3681,00 which is coincidentally the same level as our previous long trade was stopped out on December 7th. The trade was filled in the middle of regular trading hours, but then in less than 2 hours hit our stop loss. Then it kept gyrating around this level into the close.

  • Trade of the Day: -$706,00 July 8th, 2021

    Finally, there was a clear bullish signal, and the market had been going up very steadily as well. This should be the ideal circumstance for a trade. And so, using the pivot statistics, as usual, an entry and exit were determined.

    But bad luck struck, and exactly on this day, traders started to sell. Thanks to our stop loss, the damage was limited by what was determined before we took the trade. After the stop loss was hit, the price dropped another 50 points equalling some $2500,- for one ES E-Mini. Our loss was only $706,-  This is a returning theme as you can tell from other trade reports. Limiting your risk allows you to stay in the business of trading.

  • Trade of the Day: -$731,00 February 8th, 2022

    stoplossFor trading on February 8th, the daily indicators looked very bearish, as well as the intraday indicators. So that justified the decision to plan a short trade. The usual plan in such a scenario is to sell on intraday strength to get those extra points.

    Let's see what happened.

  • Trade of the Day: -$756,00 January 25th, 2021

    The first trade of the new year has taken place, but unfortunately, it was a losing trade again(!) If you look back at the last 5 trades, there was only one small winner, the other 4 were all 'regular' losing trades. As defined by my trading system, a single losing trade can never wipe out the entire account, but one after another can do serious damage.

  • Trade of the Day: -$756,00 January 27th, 2021

    stoplossAnother losing trade in the same week, the bad streak does not stop. The trading signal was very bullish, volatility was within a reasonable range, so a high probability trade was set up. But things turned really bad even before regular trading hours.

  • Trade of the Day: +$194,00 March 3rd, 2021

    coinsFinally, we had a profitable trade for the model portfolio. It's still a very minor one, but having losing trade one after another is very decremental to the faith you have as a trader in a specific trading methodology.

    Picking a good entry-level and stop loss level is always difficult. But as we can see from the chart, entry was near perfect. But as the trade took place, I could see there was a lot of nervousness going on, even multiple factors compared with an average trading day. Price behavior at the entry was erratic, but then the recovery from that low seemed to set in. The fixed stop loss was pulled up in steps of 5 points very quickly, and lastly, a 4 point profit was locked in. Luckily so, because the market decided to go lower again, even well below our entry. At one point the position was up 32 points, so there was good reason to pull up that stop loss.

  • Trade of the Day: +$1994,00 April 14th, 2021

    coinsThis trade was a two-day trade, something we haven't seen in a while. But it's perfectly ok of course. If the indicator keeps pointing in the same direction, there's no need to close the position. Although, some scenario's come to mind where closing and reopening the position could add some extra profit.

  • Trade of the Day: +$2094,00 January 24th, 2022

    coins

    Finally a trade! So many limit orders were never hit in recent months, but not this time. Last year's statistics show that a  more aggressive trading style should give us more trades. Combined with the likelihood of our trading edge proven over the years, this should result in a higher net result (after adding up all winning and losing trade results).

    Another important change was to gauge the market conditions only hours before the planned trade, maybe even just minutes combining the daily indicator with intra-day indicators. Let's look at what happened next.

  • Trade of the Day: +$569,00 May 17th, 2021

    coins

    Sometimes, when all indicators are 100% pointing in one direction, it may still be difficult to place a high probability trade. On the one hand, you want to get your order filled, on the other, you don't want to get your stop-loss to get hit and preferably a reasonable chance of reaching your target. As always, this is a game of chances, so you want to determine the probabilities for hitting those levels as well as you can. How did that work out in this trade?

  • Trade of the Day: +$719,00 June 3rd, 2021

    coins

    At this point, we're seeing the market going mostly sideways for about 8 days. While at the same time, the indicator flips to full 100% bullish mode. Looking at pivot statistics and previous lows, it seemed like a favorable trade would be to enter into a long position around 4175,00. That's quite a significant intraday pullback, but statistics tell us that's not unreasonable to expect.

    And indeed, our open buy limit was hit almost perfectly with only getting 0,25 lower as you can see on the chart. But then, a few candles later, the market went even lower. But not long after that, a nice recovery set in, only to give back some of it at the end of the session.

  • Trade of the Day: $1994,00 September 9th, 2021

    trading updateThis trade turned out to be almost perfect, buy at the low, sell at the high. But there's also a great deal of luck involved as we will see. But as we know, luck and bad-luck will even out in the long run. This trade is just simply compensation for previous bad luck. Let's see.

  • Trade of the Day: $6,50 March 30th, 2021

    It's not very often that you're going to see trades of the day with gains that small. But just looking at the result doesn't tell the whole story here. This is the third trade this month, and the resemblance with the previous two trades is remarkable.