Greed and Fear - Daily trading signals based on mathematics and software, no opinion, no emotion, no ego. Now with verified trading results!

Trading results: 
2022 -$3119,00
2019 +$8185,00
2018 +$1342,50
2017 +$5843,00
All verified! 
(trading exactly one ES E-Mini S&P 500 future for the Greed and Fear model portfolio)

resultsIn 2017, a start was made with verified actual trading results. Now we continue doing so for the year 2021. 

The total net profit stands at $21469,- at the start of 2021 trading exactly one ES E-mini S&P 500 futures contract. On average this equals $5367,50 net profit per year.

Before you invest in the model portfolio, make sure you understand the risks involved in trading futures.

What are the characteristics of this portfolio:

  • Exactly one ES E-Mini S&P 500 future is traded.
  • For each trade, there is always a stop-loss and profit target.
  • Only one trade per day is made maximum, usually only a few per month.
  • The position can last several days but is always closed before the weekend.

For all exact trading details, verified results, and investor sign-up page, start at our auto trading page with all the references to related information.

Month Result per month Number of trades
January -$1512,00 2
February $0,00 0
March -$311,50 4
April +$1994,00 1
May +$569,00 1
June +$719,00 1
July -$706,00 1
August -$556,00 1
September +$1994,00 1
October $0,00 0
November $0,00 0
December $0,00 0
Total +$2190,50 12

The minimum base amount of working capital depends on the margin your broker has set for the ES E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract. But to withstand losing trades, it's recommended to have more capital in place. If trading the ES E-Mini is not suitable for your portfolio, trading style or you are just starting with trading futures, then you may want to have a look at the Micro ES E-mini S&P 500 futures contract, it is 1/10th of the regular ES.

Make sure you understand how these products move and what they mean in dollars terms. The price levels of both futures, the regular ES and the Micro ES are the same. So you can trade both, using the e-mail signal service.

In the table below (live updated), you will find the multi-year net result. Note that this performance is the so-called net trading result. It does not include the monthly fee for investors who want to copy all the transactions in real-time. 

Since all trading decisions are based upon the Greed and Fear indicator, it's important to measure the performance of this indicator as well, the same way it was done in previous years. It gives us a good impression of how useful this indicator is because of the way its performance is compared to the benchmark, the S&P 500. The benchmark comparison is based on index points, so unleveraged. It wouldn't be fair to use trading performance, as this is based on a leveraged trading instrument.

For background information, there's a spreadsheet that shows how the Greed and Fear indicator called the daily directions. To quantify the quality of those signals, read more about how these add up.