Finally, we had a profitable trade for the model portfolio. It's still a very minor one, but having losing trade one after another is very decremental to the faith you have as a trader in a specific trading methodology.
Picking a good entry-level and stop loss level is always difficult. But as we can see from the chart, entry was near perfect. But as the trade took place, I could see there was a lot of nervousness going on, even multiple factors compared with an average trading day. Price behavior at the entry was erratic, but then the recovery from that low seemed to set in. The fixed stop loss was pulled up in steps of 5 points very quickly, and lastly, a 4 point profit was locked in. Luckily so, because the market decided to go lower again, even well below our entry. At one point the position was up 32 points, so there was good reason to pull up that stop loss.
February had no trades at all. In the last two months, it seems as if the neural networks were a bit out of tune with the markets. And when we look at simulation results over time, such an underperformance takes place every now and then. In such an event, it may be wise to take a step back and review all steps and procedures.
Looking back, no critical errors were made. During this month, the neural networks were a bit more finetuned, but not very significantly.
The yearly result of the Greed and Fear model portfolio for 2021 hasn't changed.
January had 2 trades, both losing trades. The first one had this terrible stop loss, where the market pushed to maximum loss and then returning back up in the anticipated direction.
This is the type of trade that causes doubt in the trader's mind the next time a stop loss is about to get hit. As mentioned several times, good trading is not always rewarded, and bad trading not always punished.
The second trade was the classic example of how a stop loss is protecting your account from getting wiped out in a single trade.
The yearly result of the Greed and Fear model portfolio for 2021 has been updated.
Another losing trade in the same week, the bad streak does not stop. The trading signal was very bullish, volatility was within a reasonable range, so a high probability trade was set up. But things turned really bad even before regular trading hours.
The first trade of the new year has taken place, but unfortunately, it was a losing trade again(!) If you look back at the last 5 trades, there was only one small winner, the other 4 were all 'regular' losing trades. As defined by my trading system, a single losing trade can never wipe out the entire account, but one after another can do serious damage.
All daily articles with regard to the short term market movement will go here.
This page will show all actions performed by the Greed And Fear TradeBot. The tradebot is still in development and it will take some time for this to be integrated into the website. The current idea is to have the Greed and Fear Tradebot post al its actions to the Twitter stream. Development is going very well, and things look very promising.