Two signals were sent in April. In the first, the limit price was just missed, after which the price still shot in the intended direction. Of course, we see this more often, there is a big difference between a "sideline analyst" and a trader.
In the second trade, the limit was indeed touched, but the price immediately dropped to our stop loss. Furthermore, we have seen considerable intra-day movements during the last few weeks. Sometimes these are so big that a position with a stop loss or a trailing stop loss will almost always be stopped out. And in addition, there are sometimes trading days on which the price immediately goes in one direction from the start, so that there is no nice intra-day counter-trend moment to take the position.
The month of May had a significantly higher daily volatility. On average, the ES E-Mini has a daily range from low to high of 1.6% In May, this averaged 2.8% This means that after the open buy or sell of a trade, there is a high probability that the stop loss will also be hit.
Furthermore, on many trading days, we saw that the futures immediately chose a specific direction from the opening. The trading method of the model portfolio is based on the fact that, on average, there is always some counter-movement intraday. In anticipation of that small counter-movement, a limit order is placed, but that opportunity thus occurred less frequently. The only signal that was sent had a limit price which unfortunately was not hit.
After a long time of mixed signals and/or difficult market circumstances, all signs were right to take this long trade. The previous day showed a significant rally into the close, the neural networks all turned bullish.
For the month of March 2022, the result is 0, there were no trades. This is just not the whole story because behind the scenes something did happen.
As you can read in the general description of the model portfolio, the method is such that the orders are entered as limit orders. Investors who enter the orders manually thus have plenty of time to do so as well. The auto traders, of course, have less work and can place an order with the press of a button. So after the order is placed, we have to wait to see if the limit is actually hit.
The trading results for February 2022 can be seen and are unfortunately negative. This month there were two losing trades which were both stopped out at the trailing stop loss.
All daily articles with regard to the short term market movement will go here.
This page will show all actions performed by the Greed And Fear TradeBot. The tradebot is still in development and it will take some time for this to be integrated into the website. The current idea is to have the Greed and Fear Tradebot post al its actions to the Twitter stream. Development is going very well, and things look very promising.