Greed and Fear - Daily trading signals based on mathematics and software, no opinion, no emotion, no ego. Now with verified trading results!

Trading results: 
2022 -$894,50
2019 +$8185,00
2018 +$1342,50
2017 +$5843,00
All verified! 
(trading exactly one ES E-Mini S&P 500 future for the Greed and Fear model portfolio)


Sometimes, when all indicators are 100% pointing in one direction, it may still be difficult to place a high probability trade. On the one hand, you want to get your order filled, on the other, you don't want to get your stop-loss to get hit and preferably a reasonable chance of reaching your target. As always, this is a game of chances, so you want to determine the probabilities for hitting those levels as well as you can. How did that work out in this trade?

This trade had a fill chance below 50%, a stop-loss hit of almost 0%, and a profit target of roughly 75%. The trade was filled, so at that moment expectations were high! Next, our stop-loss was almost hit. And finally, the price came nowhere near our target. That's how trading sometimes goes. Towards the end of the session, the indicator was turning back down to bearish mode so the long position had to be closed with a decent profit luckily.

20210519 trade of the day