- Written by Raoul Suurmeijer
- Category: Results
In 2017, a start was made with verified actual trading results. Now we continue doing so for the year 2020. The result is based on trading only 1 E-mini S&P future with a (minimum) $10.000,- base amount. This is the Greed and Fear model portfolio. With the accumulated profits, the value of this portfolio stands at $25370,50 at the start of 2020.
The stockmarket's behavior this month was very difficult to get a grip on. The neural networks kept contradicting one and another, not giving clear signals on most trading days. It wasn't until the last day of the month, the neural networks had a clear bullish signal. The trade that was entered worked out, more on that here.
The yearly result of the Greed and Fear model portfolio for 2020 has been updated.
Today's trade was the only one this month. Yesterday evening, I entered an order and sent an e-mail to the investors. As always, the order was a limit order anticipating intraday pullback. When the limit was hit, it first looked like an almost exact hit. But an hour later the ES dropped roughly 13 points below the initial entry, and then later that session again.
From that low, it took off right through our profit target. The bracket order is such a fantastic order type that way. Once the profit target is reached, the position is closed automatically and profit taken. Towards the end of the session, we're seeing some selling, getting well below our profit point which always feels good.
There's a lot of talk about so-called gaps. General wisdom says they will be closed. But is that true? Is there a statistical edge about gaps that we can use in our trading? Let's find out.
From now on, the trades that are made for the Greed and Fear model portfolio will be reported on the blog after they are closed. This will result in a more accurate and up-to-date reporting of the trading result.
If you use any search engine and type in the phrase "How to become a successful short term trader" or anything similar, you will find roughly 70 million(!) websites that will help you in achieving that goal, or so it seems. While in reality, there's only one right and honest answer which is more like this: "There is an extremely low probability you will ever be successful in short term trading, and you will most likely lose all funds in your account".
First, autotrading is a great development for the trading community, both for investors as well as traders. It gets rid of all the fluff and ambiguous analysis that float around the internet, that whole crazy circus feeding the modern gold-rush.